1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.
  2. Welcome to Pokemon Perfect, Guest!

    Our motto is Pokémon Practice makes Pokémon Perfect. We are a competitive-battling community that encourages the development of players and their ideas, and fosters positive and respectful attitudes. We love Collaboration (working together), Competition (getting stronger), and Communication (being informed).

    You are free to post everywhere, unless the thread explicitly states otherwise (usually in the case of a vote), and there are no private forums whatsoever. We just require you to not make multiple accounts. Let us greet you by posting a thread in the Introduce Yourself! forum.

  3. Tiers

    View Introduction to Tiers if you don't know what tiers are. Pokémon Perfect tiers are named differently to those on Smogon. A numeral followed by the letter U, e.g. 1U, 2U, 3U, represents a main tier on Pokémon Perfect – the '1' of '1U' representing the tier level. For a tier to be a main tier, it must be balanced (nothing is too powerful and game-breaking) and diverse enough (include a variety of Pokémon and strategies). A numeral followed by the letter P, e.g. 1P, 2P, 3P contain all Pokémon that are deemed overpowered in the respective 1U, 2U, 3U tiers. The 1st tier level allows Pokémon that are banned in the 2nd level, and this process continues down. Read the tier list, and in-depth explanations of the tiers naming system and tiering system. Also check out our analyses for all tiers.

  4. Tournaments

    RBY 1U Seasons and its master tournaments are responsible for starting up the community, and tournaments continue to play a big role in maintaining interest in the forums. Signups Open gives you a list of tournaments you can join, and Ongoing lists tournaments that you might want to follow. Additionally, you can tap to find out approximate Schedules for tournaments.

    For historical threads, check out Signups Closed, Finished tournaments and Results. We also have Nominations, Voting and Event threads for exhibitions – past and present.

All Gens Odds of Freeze

Discussion in 'Analysis and Research' started by Enigami, Aug 18, 2018.

  1. Enigami

    Enigami Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2015
    Messages:
    1,037
    Likes Received:
    563
    Quick overview of freeze odds based on chance of freezing before exhausting PP:

    RBY:
    Blizzard: 53.33%
    Ice Beam: 81.85%
    Ice Beam at -1 Accuracy: 66.90%
    Blizzard (JPN): 91.53%
    Ice Punch: 92.27%

    GSC:
    Blizzard: 44.34%
    Tri Attack: 66.69%
    Ice Beam: 81.98%
    Ice Punch: 92.35%
    Powder Snow: 98.62%

    Other Gens:
    Blizzard: 44.04%
    Tri Attack: 66.84%
    Ice Beam: 81.47%
    Ice Fang: 90.89%
    Ice Punch: 92.02%
    Freeze Dry: 96.57%
    Powder Snow: 98.52%
    Secret Power (Ice/Snow Terrain): 99.99%

    Other Gens (Serene Grace):
    Blizzard: 70.08%
    Tri Attack: 89.87%
    Ice Beam: 97.19%
    Ice Fang: 99.36%
    Ice Punch: 99.53%
    Freeze Dry: 99.92%
    Powder Snow: 99.99%
    Secret Power (Ice/Snow Terrain): 99.99%

    Metronome:
    RBY: (working on it)
    GSC: (working on it)
    RSE: (working on it)
    HGSS: (working on it)
    BW: (working on it)
    ORAS: (working on it)
    USUM: (working on it)

    1 Blizzard: 9.09%
    2 Blizzards: 17.34%
    3 Blizzards: 24.85%
    4 Blizzards: 31.68%
    5 Blizzards: 37.89%
    6 Blizzards: 43.53%
    7 Blizzards: 48.66%
    8 Blizzards: 53.33%
    1 Ice Beam: 10.12%
    2 Ice Beams: 19.21%
    3 Ice Beams: 27.38%
    4 Ice Beams: 34.73%
    5 Ice Beams: 41.33%
    6 Ice Beams: 47.27%
    7 Ice Beams: 52.60%
    8 Ice Beams: 57.40%
    9 Ice Beams: 61.71%
    10 Ice Beams: 65.58%
    11 Ice Beams: 69.06%
    12 Ice Beams: 72.19%
    13 Ice Beams: 75.01%
    14 Ice Beams: 77.53%
    15 Ice Beams: 79.81%
    16 Ice Beams: 81.85%
    1 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beam: 6.68%
    2 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 12.91%
    3 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 18.72%
    4 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 24.15%
    5 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 29.21%
    6 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 33.94%
    7 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 38.35%
    8 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 42.47%
    9 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 46.31%
    10 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 49.89%
    11 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 53.24%
    12 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 56.36%
    13 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 59.28%
    14 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 61.99%
    15 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 64.53%
    16 (-1 Accuracy) Ice Beams: 66.90%

    Included due to possibility of usage of accuracy drops in freeze wars
    1 Blizzard (JPN): 26.56%
    2 Blizzards (JPN): 46.06%
    3 Blizzards (JPN): 60.38%
    4 Blizzards (JPN): 70.91%
    5 Blizzards (JPN): 78.63%
    6 Blizzards (JPN): 84.31%
    7 Blizzards (JPN): 88.47%
    8 Blizzards (JPN): 91.53%
    1 Ice Punch: 10.12%
    2 Ice Punches: 19.21%
    3 Ice Punches: 27.38%
    4 Ice Punches: 34.73%
    5 Ice Punches: 41.33%
    6 Ice Punches: 47.27%
    7 Ice Punches: 52.60%
    8 Ice Punches: 57.40%
    9 Ice Punches: 61.71%
    10 Ice Punches: 65.58%
    11 Ice Punches: 69.06%
    12 Ice Punches: 72.19%
    13 Ice Punches: 75.01%
    14 Ice Punches: 77.53%
    15 Ice Punches: 79.81%
    16 Ice Punches: 81.85%
    17 Ice Punches: 83.69%
    18 Ice Punches: 85.34%
    19 Ice Punches: 86.82%
    20 Ice Punches: 88.15%
    21 Ice Punches: 89.35%
    22 Ice Punches: 90.43%
    23 Ice Punches: 91.40%
    24 Ice Punches: 92.27%

    1 Blizzard: 7.06%
    2 Blizzards: 13.62%
    3 Blizzards: 19.72%
    4 Blizzards: 25.39%
    5 Blizzards: 30.66%
    6 Blizzards: 35.56%
    7 Blizzards: 40.11%
    8 Blizzards: 44.34%
    1 Tri Attack: 6.64%
    2 Tri Attacks: 12.84%
    3 Tri Attacks: 18.63%
    4 Tri Attacks: 24.03%
    5 Tri Attacks: 29.08%
    6 Tri Attacks: 33.79%
    7 Tri Attacks: 38.18%
    8 Tri Attacks: 42.29%
    9 Tri Attacks: 46.12%
    10 Tri Attacks: 49.70%
    11 Tri Attacks: 53.04%
    12 Tri Attacks: 56.16%
    13 Tri Attacks: 59.07%
    14 Tri Attacks: 61.79%
    15 Tri Attacks: 64.32%
    16 Tri Attacks: 66.69%
    1 Ice Beam: 10.16%
    2 Ice Beams: 19.28%
    3 Ice Beams: 27.48%
    4 Ice Beams: 34.84%
    5 Ice Beams: 41.46%
    6 Ice Beams: 47.41%
    7 Ice Beams: 52.75%
    8 Ice Beams: 57.55%
    9 Ice Beams: 61.86%
    10 Ice Beams: 65.73%
    11 Ice Beams: 69.21%
    12 Ice Beams: 72.34%
    13 Ice Beams: 75.15%
    14 Ice Beams: 77.67%
    15 Ice Beams: 79.94%
    16 Ice Beams: 81.98%
    1 Ice Punch: 10.16%
    2 Ice Punches: 19.28%
    3 Ice Punches: 27.48%
    4 Ice Punches: 34.84%
    5 Ice Punches: 41.46%
    6 Ice Punches: 47.41%
    7 Ice Punches: 52.75%
    8 Ice Punches: 57.55%
    9 Ice Punches: 61.86%
    10 Ice Punches: 65.73%
    11 Ice Punches: 69.21%
    12 Ice Punches: 72.34%
    13 Ice Punches: 75.15%
    14 Ice Punches: 77.67%
    15 Ice Punches: 79.94%
    16 Ice Punches: 81.98%
    17 Ice Punches: 83.81%
    18 Ice Punches: 85.45%
    19 Ice Punches: 86.93%
    20 Ice Punches: 88.26%
    21 Ice Punches: 89.45%
    22 Ice Punches: 90.52%
    23 Ice Punches: 91.48%
    24 Ice Punches: 92.35%
    1 Powder Snow: 10.16%
    2 Powder Snows: 19.28%
    3 Powder Snows: 27.48%
    4 Powder Snows: 34.84%
    5 Powder Snows: 41.46%
    6 Powder Snows: 47.41%
    7 Powder Snows: 52.75%
    8 Powder Snows: 57.55%
    9 Powder Snows: 61.86%
    10 Powder Snows: 65.73%
    11 Powder Snows: 69.21%
    12 Powder Snows: 72.34%
    13 Powder Snows: 75.15%
    14 Powder Snows: 77.67%
    15 Powder Snows: 79.94%
    16 Powder Snows: 81.98%
    17 Powder Snows: 83.81%
    18 Powder Snows: 85.45%
    19 Powder Snows: 86.93%
    20 Powder Snows: 88.26%
    21 Powder Snows: 89.45%
    22 Powder Snows: 90.52%
    23 Powder Snows: 91.48%
    24 Powder Snows: 92.35%
    25 Powder Snows: 93.13%
    26 Powder Snows: 93.82%
    27 Powder Snows: 94.45%
    28 Powder Snows: 95.02%
    29 Powder Snows: 95.52%
    30 Powder Snows: 95.98%
    31 Powder Snows: 96.38%
    32 Powder Snows: 96.75%
    33 Powder Snows: 97.08%
    34 Powder Snows: 97.38%
    35 Powder Snows: 97.64%
    36 Powder Snows: 97.88%
    37 Powder Snows: 98.10%
    38 Powder Snows: 98.29%
    39 Powder Snows: 98.47%
    40 Powder Snows: 98.62%

    1 Blizzard: 7.00%
    2 Blizzards: 13.51%
    3 Blizzards: 19.56%
    4 Blizzards: 25.19%
    5 Blizzards: 30.43%
    6 Blizzards: 35.3%
    7 Blizzards: 39.83%
    8 Blizzards: 44.04%
    1 Tri Attack: 6.67%
    2 Tri Attacks: 12.89%
    3 Tri Attacks: 18.70%
    4 Tri Attacks: 24.12%
    5 Tri Attacks: 29.18%
    6 Tri Attacks: 33.90%
    7 Tri Attacks: 38.30%
    8 Tri Attacks: 42.42%
    9 Tri Attacks: 46.26%
    10 Tri Attacks: 49.84%
    11 Tri Attacks: 53.18%
    12 Tri Attacks: 56.30%
    13 Tri Attacks: 59.22%
    14 Tri Attacks: 61.94%
    15 Tri Attacks: 64.47%
    16 Tri Attacks: 66.84%
    1 Ice Beam: 10.00%
    2 Ice Beams: 19.00%
    3 Ice Beams: 27.10%
    4 Ice Beams: 34.39%
    5 Ice Beams: 40.95%
    6 Ice Beams: 46.86%
    7 Ice Beams: 52.17%
    8 Ice Beams: 56.95%
    9 Ice Beams: 61.26%
    10 Ice Beams: 65.13%
    11 Ice Beams: 68.62%
    12 Ice Beams: 71.76%
    13 Ice Beams: 74.58%
    14 Ice Beams: 77.12%
    15 Ice Beams: 79.41%
    16 Ice Beams: 81.47%
    1 Ice Fang: 9.50%
    2 Ice Fangs: 18.10%
    3 Ice Fangs: 25.88%
    4 Ice Fangs: 32.92%
    5 Ice Fangs: 39.29%
    6 Ice Fangs: 45.06%
    7 Ice Fangs: 50.28%
    8 Ice Fangs: 55.00%
    9 Ice Fangs: 59.28%
    10 Ice Fangs: 63.15%
    11 Ice Fangs: 66.65%
    12 Ice Fangs: 69.82%
    13 Ice Fangs: 72.68%
    14 Ice Fangs: 75.28%
    15 Ice Fangs: 77.63%
    16 Ice Fangs: 79.75%
    17 Ice Fangs: 81.68%
    18 Ice Fangs: 83.42%
    19 Ice Fangs: 84.99%
    20 Ice Fangs: 86.42%
    21 Ice Fangs: 87.71%
    22 Ice Fangs: 88.88%
    23 Ice Fangs: 89.93%
    24 Ice Fangs: 90.89%
    1 Ice Punch: 10.00%
    2 Ice Punches: 19.00%
    3 Ice Punches: 27.10%
    4 Ice Punches: 34.39%
    5 Ice Punches: 40.95%
    6 Ice Punches: 46.86%
    7 Ice Punches: 52.17%
    8 Ice Punches: 56.95%
    9 Ice Punches: 61.26%
    10 Ice Punches: 65.13%
    11 Ice Punches: 68.62%
    12 Ice Punches: 71.76%
    13 Ice Punches: 74.58%
    14 Ice Punches: 77.12%
    15 Ice Punches: 79.41%
    16 Ice Punches: 81.47%
    17 Ice Punches: 83.32%
    18 Ice Punches: 84.99%
    19 Ice Punches: 86.49%
    20 Ice Punches: 87.84%
    21 Ice Punches: 89.06%
    22 Ice Punches: 90.15%
    23 Ice Punches: 91.14%
    24 Ice Punches: 92.02%
    1 Freeze Dry: 10.00%
    2 Freeze Drys: 19.00%
    3 Freeze Drys: 27.10%
    4 Freeze Drys: 34.39%
    5 Freeze Drys: 40.95%
    6 Freeze Drys: 46.86%
    7 Freeze Drys: 52.17%
    8 Freeze Drys: 56.95%
    9 Freeze Drys: 61.26%
    10 Freeze Drys: 65.13%
    11 Freeze Drys: 68.62%
    12 Freeze Drys: 71.76%
    13 Freeze Drys: 74.58%
    14 Freeze Drys: 77.12%
    15 Freeze Drys: 79.41%
    16 Freeze Drys: 81.47%
    17 Freeze Drys: 83.32%
    18 Freeze Drys: 84.99%
    19 Freeze Drys: 86.49%
    20 Freeze Drys: 87.84%
    21 Freeze Drys: 89.06%
    22 Freeze Drys: 90.15%
    23 Freeze Drys: 91.14%
    24 Freeze Drys: 92.02%
    25 Freeze Drys: 92.82%
    26 Freeze Drys: 93.54%
    27 Freeze Drys: 94.19%
    28 Freeze Drys: 94.77%
    29 Freeze Drys: 95.29%
    30 Freeze Drys: 95.76%
    31 Freeze Drys: 96.18%
    32 Freeze Drys: 96.57%
    1 Powder Snow: 10.00%
    2 Powder Snows: 19.00%
    3 Powder Snows: 27.10%
    4 Powder Snows: 34.39%
    5 Powder Snows: 40.95%
    6 Powder Snows: 46.86%
    7 Powder Snows: 52.17%
    8 Powder Snows: 56.95%
    9 Powder Snows: 61.26%
    10 Powder Snows: 65.13%
    11 Powder Snows: 68.62%
    12 Powder Snows: 71.76%
    13 Powder Snows: 74.58%
    14 Powder Snows: 77.12%
    15 Powder Snows: 79.41%
    16 Powder Snows: 81.47%
    17 Powder Snows: 83.32%
    18 Powder Snows: 84.99%
    19 Powder Snows: 86.49%
    20 Powder Snows: 87.84%
    21 Powder Snows: 89.06%
    22 Powder Snows: 90.15%
    23 Powder Snows: 91.14%
    24 Powder Snows: 92.02%
    25 Powder Snows: 92.82%
    26 Powder Snows: 93.54%
    27 Powder Snows: 94.19%
    28 Powder Snows: 94.77%
    29 Powder Snows: 95.29%
    30 Powder Snows: 95.76%
    31 Powder Snows: 96.18%
    32 Powder Snows: 96.57%
    33 Powder Snows: 96.91%
    34 Powder Snows: 97.22%
    35 Powder Snows: 97.50%
    36 Powder Snows: 97.75%
    37 Powder Snows: 97.97%
    38 Powder Snows: 98.18%
    39 Powder Snows: 98.36%
    40 Powder Snows: 98.52%
    1 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Power: 30.00%
    2 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 51.00%
    3 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 65.7%
    4 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 75.99%
    5 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 83.19%
    6 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 88.24%
    7 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 91.76%
    8 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 94.24%
    9 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 95.96%
    10 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 97.18%
    11 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 98.02%
    12 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 98.62%
    13 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.03%
    14 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.32%
    15 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.53%
    16 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.67%
    17 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.77%
    18 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.84%
    19 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.89%
    20 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.92%
    21 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.94%
    22 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.96%
    23 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.97%
    24 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.98%
    25 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    26 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    27 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    28 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    29 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    30 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    31 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    32 (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%

    1 (Serene Grace) Blizzard: 14.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 26.04%
    3 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 36.39%
    4 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 45.3%
    5 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 52.96%
    6 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 59.54%
    7 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 65.21%
    8 (Serene Grace) Blizzards: 70.08%
    1 (Serene Grace) Tri Attack: 13.33%
    2 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 24.89%
    3 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 34.90%
    4 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 43.58%
    5 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 51.11%
    6 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 57.62%
    7 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 63.27%
    8 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 68.17%
    9 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 72.42%
    10 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 76.09%
    11 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 79.28%
    12 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 82.04%
    13 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 84.44%
    14 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 86.51%
    15 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 88.31%
    16 (Serene Grace) Tri Attacks: 89.87%
    1 (Serene Grace) Ice Beam: 20.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 36.00%
    3 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 48.80%
    4 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 59.04%
    5 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 67.23%
    6 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 73.79%
    7 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 79.03%
    8 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 83.22%
    9 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 86.58%
    10 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 89.26%
    11 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 91.41%
    12 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 93.13%
    13 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 94.50%
    14 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 95.60%
    15 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 96.48%
    16 (Serene Grace) Ice Beams: 97.19%
    1 (Serene Grace) Ice Fang: 19.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 34.39%
    3 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 46.86%
    4 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 56.95%
    5 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 65.13%
    6 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 71.76%
    7 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 77.12%
    8 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 81.47%
    9 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 84.99%
    10 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 87.84%
    11 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 90.15%
    12 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 92.02%
    13 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 93.54%
    14 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 94.77%
    15 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 95.76%
    16 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 96.57%
    17 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 97.22%
    18 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 97.75%
    19 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 98.18%
    20 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 98.52%
    21 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 98.80%
    22 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 99.03%
    23 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 99.21%
    24 (Serene Grace) Ice Fangs: 99.36%
    1 (Serene Grace) Ice Punch: 20.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 36.00%
    3 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 48.8%
    4 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 59.04%
    5 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 67.23%
    6 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 73.79%
    7 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 79.03%
    8 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 83.22%
    9 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 86.58%
    10 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 89.26%
    11 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 91.41%
    12 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 93.13%
    13 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 94.50%
    14 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 95.60%
    15 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 96.48%
    16 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 97.19%
    17 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 97.75%
    18 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 98.20%
    19 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 98.56%
    20 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 98.85%
    21 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 99.08%
    22 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 99.26%
    23 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 99.41%
    24 (Serene Grace) Ice Punches: 99.53%
    1 (Serene Grace) Freeze Dry: 20.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 36.00%
    3 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 48.80%
    4 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 59.04%
    5 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 67.23%
    6 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 73.79%
    7 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 79.03%
    8 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 83.22%
    9 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 86.58%
    10 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 89.26%
    11 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 91.41%
    12 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 93.13%
    13 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 94.50%
    14 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 95.60%
    15 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 96.48%
    16 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 97.19%
    17 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 97.75%
    18 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 98.20%
    19 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 98.56%
    20 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 98.85%
    21 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.08%
    22 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.26%
    23 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.41%
    24 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.53%
    25 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.62%
    26 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.70%
    27 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.76%
    28 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.81%
    29 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.85%
    30 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.88%
    31 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.90%
    32 (Serene Grace) Freeze Drys: 99.92%
    1 (Serene Grace) Powder Snow: 20.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 36.00%
    3 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 48.80%
    4 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 59.04%
    5 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 67.23%
    6 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 73.79%
    7 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 79.03%
    8 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 83.22%
    9 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 86.58%
    10 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 89.26%
    11 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 91.41%
    12 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 93.13%
    13 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 94.50%
    14 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 95.60%
    15 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 96.48%
    16 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 97.19%
    17 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 97.75%
    18 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 98.20%
    19 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 98.56%
    20 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 98.85%
    21 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.08%
    22 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.26%
    23 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.41%
    24 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.53%
    25 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.62%
    26 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.70%
    27 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.76%
    28 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.81%
    29 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.85%
    30 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.88%
    31 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.90%
    32 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.92%
    33 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.94%
    34 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.95%
    35 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.96%
    36 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.97%
    37 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.97%
    38 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.98%
    39 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.98%
    40 (Serene Grace) Powder Snows: 99.99%
    1 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Power: 60.00%
    2 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 84.00%
    3 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 93.6%
    4 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 97.44%
    5 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 98.98%
    6 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.59%
    7 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.84%
    8 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.93%
    9 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.97%
    10 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    11 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    12 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    13 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    14 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    15 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    16 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    17 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    18 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    19 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    20 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    21 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    22 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    23 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    24 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    25 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    26 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    27 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    28 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    29 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    30 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    31 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%
    32 (Serene Grace) (Ice/Snow Terrain) Secret Powers: 99.99%

    GB: 1 - (1 - (f/256 x a/256)n x 100
    GB -1 Accuracy: 1 - (1 - ((f/256 x a/256) x 0.66)n x 100
    GB Tri Attack: 1 - (1 - ((f/256 x a/256) / 3)n x 100
    Gen 3+: 1 - (1 - ((f x s) x a))n x 100
    --where f = Freeze Chance, s = Serence Grace multiplier (2 if user's ability is Serene Grace, 1 otherwise), a = Accuracy and n = Number of Attacks

    GB variables:
    RBY Blizzard: f = 26, a = 229
    RBY Ice Beam/Punch: f = 26, a = 255
    RBY Blizzard (JPN): f = 76, a = 255
    GSC Blizzard: f = 26, a = 179
    GSC Tri Attack: f = 51, a = 256
    GSC Ice Beam/Punch/Powder Snow: f = 26, a = 256
    Gen 3+ Blizzard: f = 0.1, a = 0.7
    Gen 3+ Tri Attack: f = 0.0666, a = 1
    Gen 3+ Ice Fang : f = 0.1, a = 0.95
    Gen 3+ Ice Beam/Punch/Powder Snow: f = 0.1, a = 1
    Gen 3+ Secret Power (ce/Snow Terrain): f = 0.3, a = 1
     
    Disaster Area likes this.
  2. Enigami

    Enigami Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2015
    Messages:
    1,037
    Likes Received:
    563
    I know DA already did this back in 2015, but it only included odds for RBY Ice Beam and Blizzard. This is a much more complete list, including all freezing moves and generations, and including odds with Serene Grace and RBY Ice Beam at -1 Accuracy (added due to occasional use in freeze wars, i.e. Flash Mewtwo vs. Mewtwo, Flash Porygon vs. IceLax, Sand Attack Vaporeon vs. Vaporeon, Smokescreen Seadra vs. Seadra)

    I don't know as much about how Gen 3 onwards handles secondary effect probabilities so it could be slightly inaccurate. If there's any problems with the probabilities, please inform me and I can correct them.
     
    Disaster Area likes this.
  3. ToadNorton

    ToadNorton Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2017
    Messages:
    44
    Likes Received:
    30
    For Tri Attack, would/was the chance for burn and paralysis be factored into the chance for freeze because other status conditions stop freeze?
     
  4. Enigami

    Enigami Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2015
    Messages:
    1,037
    Likes Received:
    563
    Nope, hadn't thought of that. I'll work on that later.
     
  5. magic9mushroom

    magic9mushroom BEST END. Member

    Joined:
    May 1, 2013
    Messages:
    564
    Likes Received:
    355
    The Tri Attack thing is going to be (chance that they get statused) * (chance that the status is freeze).
     

Share This Page